Project 2025 Tracker / What’s done, what’s next

4. Department of Defense · Notable · Needs Congress

Accelerate the Sentinel ICBM to replace the aging Minuteman III

Partially done

Printed page 114 4. Department of Defense

“Accelerate the development and production of the Sentinel intercontinental ballistic missile to reduce the risk inherent in an aging Minuteman III force in light of China's nuclear modernization breakout.”

What has happened

  1. Partially done

    The FY2026 NDAA (P.L. 119-60) sec. 1636 lets the Secretary of the Air Force enter life-of-program contracts for Sentinel solid rocket motor nozzle material and related processing - an acceleration authority for a known supply-chain constraint - and the authorization table funds Sentinel modifications and Sentinel EMD. Against that, sec. 1641 requires a strategy, submitted with every budget until Sentinel reaches full operational capacity, to sustain Minuteman III and maximize its end-of-life margin, and sec. 1632 defines the deployed ICBM force as "any combination of" Minuteman III or Sentinel. Congress funded Sentinel risk reduction while legislating on the assumption that Minuteman III must last longer, which is not acceleration.

  2. Partially done

    Section 20008(a)(1) of the reconciliation act (P.L. 119-21) appropriated $2,500,000,000 for risk reduction activities for the Sentinel intercontinental ballistic missile program, available until 2029 - money aimed at the schedule risk the Quote is worried about. The same section put $500,000,000 into improvements to the Minuteman III system, which is what an unaccelerated Sentinel requires.

Research log

What was searched, and what didn’t count as evidence

Research notes

Read from enacted text; the program’s own schedule is not published on any allowlisted host (war.gov and media.defense.gov refused our requests).

  • Paired with #253, which asks Congress to reject Minuteman III life extension: the same NDAA sections are the contrary evidence there. Both items are leveled on the same reading - money went into Sentinel risk reduction, and simultaneously into keeping Minuteman III alive longer.
  • The refusal was the wrong host (2026-09-03). The budget exhibits are published at comptroller.war.gov, not media.defense.gov, and open without difficulty. The FY 2027 Program Acquisition Costs by Weapon System book (generated 2026-04-21) gives LGM-35A Sentinel FY2025 $1,942.0M → FY2026 enacted $5,010.4M → FY2027 request $4,631.5M — money more than doubled inside the window. What the exhibit does not carry is any schedule statement: no first-flight date, no initial operating capability, no restructure milestone. The ask is acceleration, which is a schedule question, so the rung is unchanged and the money is recorded here rather than as an event.
Action
expand
Object
Sentinel intercontinental ballistic missile
ID
212