Project 2025 Tracker / What’s done, what’s next

21. Department of Commerce · Notable

Develop a new methodology for normal value in Chinese antidumping cases

Not started

669 21. Department of Commerce

“Develop a new methodology to determine normal values in Chinese antidumping cases because—given China’s size, economic might, and state intervention in the economy—there is no comparable surrogate country to use as a proxy for production costs.”

What has happened

  1. Not started

    Nothing found. Commerce continues to determine normal value in Chinese antidumping cases by the existing surrogate-country method under 19 U.S.C. 1677b(c); no new methodology was proposed, and China's non-market-economy status was not revisited.

    No action found yet. This entry is the starting point, not a finding.

Research log

What was searched, and what didn’t count as evidence

Research notes

Cluster negative search E&C-1 (chapter log): Federal Register full text since 2025-01-20 for "self-initiation" (1 hit, a 2025-03-31 correction notice), "surrogate country" (73 hits, all individual AD/CVD case notices), "non-market economy" methodology (131, same), "Top Markets" (0); plus a jq pass over every in-window Federal Register record whose agency is the International Trade Administration, with the individual AD/CVD case notices filtered out. The "non-market economy" methodology search (131 in-window documents) and the "surrogate country" search (73) both return only case determinations applying the existing method. Federal Register full text for "normal value" methodology restricted to rules and proposed rules returns nothing at Commerce.

The two live E&C rulemakings in the window (Cohen’s d, unaffiliated reseller assessment rates — see #1830) go to dumping-margin calculation and assessment, not to how normal value is constructed for a non-market economy.

Action
create
Object
methodology for determining normal value in Chinese antidumping cases
ID
1835